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Budget-to-Forecast Bridge — BAC £14.4m to EAC £16.0m by variance driver

Cost variance bridge for a monthly project review: the named drivers moving budget at completion to estimate at completion on a capital scheme, each priced, adding to the reported variance at completion.

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Northgate WWTW Phase 2 — BAC to EAC bridge (£k, month 12 review)04,0008,00012,00016,00014,400BAC baseline+540Membrane skid+420Ground conditions+310Supervision +4mo+260M&E inflation-120Design fee+190Risk drawdown16,000EAC forecast

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title "Northgate WWTW Phase 2 — BAC to EAC bridge (£k, month 12 review)"

# Every bar is a priced, owned movement carried on the change register.
# Deltas sum to +1,600, which is the reported VAC of −£1,600k.

bar   "BAC baseline"      14400
# CV-014, membrane skid price held only to month 9
delta "Membrane skid"       540
# Unforeseen ground: additional dewatering to the inlet works
delta "Ground conditions"   420
# Site supervision extended 4 months to match the revised programme
delta "Supervision +4mo"    310
# CPI-linked escalation on M&E not yet ordered
delta "M&E inflation"       260
# Detailed design closed out under budget; the underrun is released, not spent
delta "Design fee"         -120
# Risk allowance drawn down against realised risks R-02 and R-06
delta "Risk drawdown"       190
total "EAC forecast"