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Pareto — First-Year Student Withdrawals

Stated reasons for first-year withdrawal in an 8,140-strong cohort against the year before, computing that 4 of 10 reasons cover 80.6% of 633 withdrawals and that caring responsibilities entered the vital few as academic difficulty left it.

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First-year withdrawals by stated reason — 2026/27 cohort2026/27 vs 2025/26 · 10 categories · total 633 withdrawals · threshold 80%2026/272025/26Cumulative %Cumulative % (2025/26)0501001502002500%20%40%60%80%100%80% threshold21214114896921185821419728312118333133.5%56.9%71.4%80.6%87.0%91.5%94.8%100%vital few · 4Financial hardshipMental healthWrong course choiceCaring responsibilitiesAcademic difficultyRelocation or commuteEmployment offerOther4 of 10 categories (40%) account for 80.6% of 633 withdrawals.Vital few at 80%: Financial hardship, Mental health, Wrong course choice, Caring responsibilities — 510 of 633withdrawals.Those categories covered 68.0% of the 2025/26 total (553 withdrawals), against 80.6% of 2026/27.Movement vs 2025/26: entered — Caring responsibilities; left — Academic difficulty.Other folds 3 categories under 3% of total (33 withdrawals, 5.2%).Cohort of 8,140 entrants; 7.8% did not progress to year 2

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title "First-year withdrawals by stated reason — 2026/27 cohort"
unit withdrawals
period "2026/27"
compare "2025/26"
threshold 80%
other-below 3%
note "Cohort of 8,140 entrants; 7.8% did not progress to year 2"

# reason                     2026/27   2025/26
"Financial hardship"             212       141
"Mental health"                  148        96
"Wrong course choice"             92       118
"Caring responsibilities"         58        21
"Academic difficulty"             41        97
"Relocation or commute"           28        31
"Employment offer"                21        18
"Housing insecurity"              15         9
"Physical illness"                11        14
"Bereavement"                      7         8